Mohd. Arshad Khan does not make GT's optimal XII. His WAR per match of 0.05 is below the replacement line, though at only 19 T20 matches, the sample is limited. His IPL confidence of 0.65 suggests a reasonable portion of his data comes from IPL-level competition.

Why He Does Not Make the XI

GT's pace slots go to Siraj, Krishna, and Holder. Arshad Khan's bowling WAR/M of -0.01 and economy of 9.8 across 21 overs do not compete with the starters. His batting provides marginal value (WAR/M of 0.02) but not enough to change the calculus.

He also sits behind Ishant Sharma as the fourth domestic pace option. To enter the XI, multiple pacers ahead of him would need to be unavailable.

Bowling Profile

In 21 overs, Khan took 6 wickets at 9.8 economy. His Ecae of -0.5 indicates he concedes half a run per over more than expected for his phases. The death share of 61% suggests he has been used as a death bowler, though his numbers in that phase have not been strong enough to earn a regular role.

At 272 career bowling balls, the sample is small enough that one good spell could significantly shift his numbers. The model treats small samples cautiously, but the volatility cuts both ways. He could be better than his current numbers suggest.

Development Path

Khan is a young pace bowler in a squad with established options ahead of him. His path to selection runs through domestic T20 performances that generate more data and shift his projections upward. If he can bring his economy below 9.0 in domestic cricket, the model will begin to view him more favorably.

GT may give him opportunities in low-stakes matches, particularly late in the tournament if their playoff position is secure. Those innings could provide the data the model needs to update his projection.

What This Means for IPL 2026

Khan's projected WAR/M of 0.05 reflects a player who needs more overs to develop. He is a long-term investment in GT's pace pipeline, not a 2026 contributor. His value to GT is as depth insurance and future upside.