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Player Projections

2-year WAR/M projections for active IPL players using WPA-based WAR with T20 aging curves. WAR/M measures wins above replacement per match — a player worth 0.10 WAR/M adds roughly 1.4 wins over a replacement player across a 14-match IPL season.

Model: WPA-based WAR + Aging Curve · Formats: IPL 1.0x / T20I 0.7x / SMAT 0.4x · Regression threshold: 1,500 balls · 294 active IPL players

294
Active IPL Players
0.04
Avg WAR/M
224
High Confidence
66
Rising Trajectory
Akash Singh
RR · 23.9
0.14IPL 2025: +0.27rising
N Pooran
SRH · 30.5
0.12IPL 2025: +0.17stable
JJ Bumrah
MI · 32.3
0.12IPL 2025: +0.17stable
SA Yadav
MI · 35.5
0.12IPL 2025: +0.18declining
Shubman Gill
KKR · 26.6
0.12IPL 2025: +0.14rising
SP Narine
KKR · 37.8
0.12IPL 2025: +0.10declining
JC Buttler
RR · 35.6
0.11IPL 2025: +0.18declining
SS Iyer
PBKS · 31.3
0.10IPL 2025: +0.18stable
Sameer Rizvi
DC · 22.3
0.10IPL 2025: +0.21rising
Ashutosh Sharma
PBKS · 27.5
0.10IPL 2025: +0.17stable
MP Yadav
LSG · 23.8
0.10IPL 2025: -0.04rising
Abhishek Sharma
SRH · 25.6
0.09IPL 2025: +0.12rising
JR Hazlewood
RCB · 35.2
0.09IPL 2025: +0.14declining
H Klaasen
SRH · 34.7
0.09IPL 2025: +0.10declining
TA Boult
SRH · 36.7
0.09IPL 2025: +0.12declining
Mohammed Siraj
SRH · 32.1
0.09IPL 2025: +0.14stable
RD Gaikwad
CSK · 29.2
0.09IPL 2025: +0.08stable
KH Pandya
RCB · 35
0.09IPL 2025: +0.13declining
DP Conway
CSK · 34.7
0.09IPL 2025: +0.04declining
JM Bairstow
SRH · 36.5
0.08IPL 2025: +0.27declining
Arshdeep Singh
PBKS · 27.2
0.08IPL 2025: +0.16stable
R Parag
RR · 24.4
0.08IPL 2025: +0.09rising
WG Jacks
RCB · 27.4
0.08IPL 2025: +0.07stable
Kuldeep Yadav
KKR · 31.3
0.08IPL 2025: +0.10stable
0.08IPL 2025: +0.01stable
AR Patel
PBKS · 32.2
0.08IPL 2025: +0.10stable
V Kohli
RCB · 37.4
0.08IPL 2025: +0.15declining
KL Rahul
SRH · 34
0.08IPL 2025: +0.15declining
D Brevis
MI · 22.9
0.07IPL 2025: +0.12rising
NT Ellis
PBKS · 31.5
0.07stable
SV Samson
RR · 31.4
0.07IPL 2025: +0.04stable
B Sai Sudharsan
GT · 24.5
0.07IPL 2025: +0.03rising
PD Salt
RCB · 29.6
0.07IPL 2025: +0.07stable
Sikandar Raza
PBKS · 39.9
0.07declining
0.07IPL 2025: +0.04stable
Mohammed Shami
SRH · 35.6
0.07IPL 2025: -0.02declining
N Rana
RR · 32.3
0.07IPL 2025: +0.07stable
Tilak Varma
MI · 23.4
0.07IPL 2025: +0.04rising
KK Nair
RCB · 34.3
0.07IPL 2025: +0.13declining
MR Marsh
SRH · 34.4
0.07IPL 2025: +0.11declining
JM Sharma
RCB · 32.4
0.07IPL 2025: +0.15stable
Rashid Khan
SRH · 27.5
0.07IPL 2025: +0.01stable
B Kumar
SRH · 36.2
0.07IPL 2025: +0.06declining
PJ Cummins
SRH · 32.9
0.07IPL 2025: +0.08stable
RR Pant
LSG · 28.5
0.07IPL 2025: +0.06stable
0.06IPL 2025: +0.10rising
S Lamichhane
DD · 25.7
0.06rising
VR Iyer
KKR · 31.3
0.06IPL 2025: +0.03stable
CV Varun
KKR · 34.6
0.06IPL 2025: +0.06declining
JC Archer
RR · 31
0.06IPL 2025: +0.05stable
KR Sen
RR · 29.4
0.06stable
AM Rahane
RPS · 37.8
0.06IPL 2025: +0.13declining
Mohsin Khan
LSG · 27.7
0.06stable
RA Jadeja
RR · 37.3
0.06IPL 2025: +0.09declining
VG Arora
PBKS · 28.3
0.06IPL 2025: +0.08stable
KK Ahmed
SRH · 28.3
0.06IPL 2025: +0.02stable
RP Meredith
PBKS · 29.8
0.06stable
Shashank Singh
SRH · 34.4
0.06IPL 2025: +0.03declining
MA Starc
RCB · 36.2
0.06IPL 2025: +0.05declining
Harmeet Singh
RR · 33.6
0.06declining
E Lewis
RR · 34.3
0.06declining
Naveen-ul-Haq
LSG · 26.5
0.05rising
MJ Henry
LSG · 34.3
0.05declining
HC Brook
SRH · 27.1
0.05stable
Swapnil Singh
RCB · 35.2
0.05declining
0.05IPL 2025: +0.16rising
RM Patidar
RCB · 32.8
0.05IPL 2025: -0.00stable
C Sakariya
RR · 28.1
0.05stable
RR Rossouw
RCB · 36.5
0.05declining
GD Phillips
SRH · 29.3
0.05stable
GJ Maxwell
RCB · 37.5
0.05IPL 2025: +0.03declining
Sandeep Sharma
SRH · 32.9
0.05IPL 2025: +0.03stable
R Sai Kishore
GT · 29.4
0.05IPL 2025: +0.05stable
RK Singh
KKR · 28.5
0.05IPL 2025: +0.06stable
DS Rathi
LSG · 26.3
0.05IPL 2025: +0.10rising
A Zampa
SRH · 34
0.05IPL 2025: -0.02declining
PBB Rajapaksa
PBKS · 34.4
0.05declining
JP Behrendorff
MI · 35.9
0.05stable
F du Plessis
RCB · 41.7
0.05IPL 2025: -0.01declining
Avesh Khan
RCB · 29.3
0.05IPL 2025: +0.10stable
AJ Hosein
SRH · 32.9
0.05stable
PWH de Silva
RCB · 28.7
0.05IPL 2025: +0.04stable
DL Chahar
RPS · 33.6
0.05IPL 2025: +0.02declining
TL Seifert
KKR · 31.3
0.05stable
TH David
RCB · 30
0.05IPL 2025: +0.07stable
G Coetzee
MI · 25.5
0.05IPL 2025: +0.01declining
Abishek Porel
DC · 23.5
0.05IPL 2025: +0.06rising
K Gowtham
RR · 37.4
0.05declining
C Green
RCB · 26.8
0.05rising
JP Inglis
PBKS · 31.1
0.05IPL 2025: +0.11stable
Mukesh Kumar
DC · 32.5
0.05IPL 2025: +0.05stable
Yash Thakur
PBKS · 27.3
0.05IPL 2025: +0.05stable
0.05IPL 2025: +0.08stable
HV Patel
SRH · 35.4
0.05IPL 2025: +0.05declining
Shakib Al Hasan
SRH · 39
0.05declining
Noor Ahmad
GT · 21.2
0.04IPL 2025: +0.05rising
0.04IPL 2025: +0.08stable
YBK Jaiswal
RR · 24.3
0.04IPL 2025: -0.01rising
S Dube
RCB · 32.8
0.04IPL 2025: -0.01stable
T Banton
KKR · 27.4
0.04stable
BKG Mendis
GT · 31.2
0.04stable
TM Head
SRH · 32.3
0.04IPL 2025: +0.00stable
T Natarajan
SRH · 35
0.04declining
Urvil Patel
CSK · 27.5
0.04IPL 2025: +0.11stable
T Stubbs
MI · 25.6
0.04IPL 2025: +0.01rising
W O'Rourke
LSG · 24.7
0.04IPL 2025: +0.02rising
SD Hope
DC · 32.4
0.04stable
MDKJ Perera
RR · 35.6
0.04declining
0.04IPL 2025: +0.04rising
L Wood
MI · 30.7
0.04stable
P Simran Singh
PBKS · 25.6
0.04IPL 2025: +0.08rising
Umran Malik
SRH · 26.4
0.04rising
M Shahrukh Khan
PBKS · 30.8
0.04IPL 2025: +0.03stable
D Wiese
RCB · 40.9
0.04declining
Harshit Rana
KKR · 24.3
0.04IPL 2025: +0.02rising
TU Deshpande
RR · 30.9
0.04IPL 2025: +0.03stable
Lalit Yadav
DC · 29.2
0.04stable
Priyansh Arya
PBKS · 24.5
0.04IPL 2025: +0.05rising
JG Bethell
RCB · 22.4
0.04IPL 2025: +0.10rising

T20 Aging Curve

Performance factor relative to peak (age 28-29). Quadratic fit with asymmetric young-player development boost.

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WAR Methodology
WAR (Wins Above Replacement) measures total player value in wins. It uses Win Probability Added directly — no runs-per-win conversion needed since WPA is already denominated in wins. Replacement level is the 25th percentile of WPA per ball across qualifying entries. WAR/M (per match) is the primary evaluation metric because IPL selection is often political rather than performance-based. Year columns show actual per-season WAR/M values.
batting_WAR = (wpa_per_ball - replacement_wpa_per_ball) × balls bowling_WAR = (wpa_per_ball - replacement_wpa_per_ball) × balls WAR = batting_WAR + bowling_WAR WAR/M = WAR / matches season_WAR = projected_WAR/M × projected_matches