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Avesh Khan (LSG): -0.6 Ecae Keeps Experienced Pacer Outside Optimal XII

LSG
2026-03-201 min read
-0.6Ecae (phase-adjusted)
Avesh KhanLSG
#8 Lower OrderROLE
RHBBAT
0.17WAR/M
—xIMPACT
10.1ECON

Avesh Khan brings 123 T20 matches of experience to LSG's pace reserves, but his IPL 2025 numbers kept him out of the optimal XII. His economy of 10.1 across 47.3 overs was expensive, and his Ecae of -0.6 confirms he leaked runs above what the model expected for the phases he bowled in.

His regressed WAR/M of 0.17 and projected WAR/M of 0.19 suggest the model expects some recovery. Across 2646 career bowling balls, his long-term track record is solid enough to warrant squad inclusion.

Why He Misses the XII

LSG's four pace slots go to Shami (new ball), Akash Singh (new ball), Mayank Yadav (death), and Mohsin Khan (death). Avesh's bowling surplus of -30 in IPL 2025 was the worst among LSG's pace options. He conceded more runs above replacement than any other pacer in the squad.

His IPL confidence of 83% is among the highest on the roster, meaning the -0.6 Ecae is based on a substantial sample and is unlikely to be a fluke.

Pitch Map — Season Aggregate
WideOffOffMidLegWideLeg410.51013.8119.8516.832.0215.066.0214.943.054.81116.43311.6299.7716.3212.046.02811.1168.356.0124.093.3289.91510.076.0212.01611.623.087.5YorkerFullTossFullGoodBack ofLengthShort
294balls bowled
13Wwickets
9.73economy
Goodprimary length
Off Stumpprimary line
cell: balls / econ
<5 5-7 7-9 9+
Pitch Map by Phase
WOOffMidLegWL16322626715183146317712211141YkrFTFullGoodBoLShortPowerplay (1-6)257b / 10.88 econ / 6W
WOOffMidLegWL28111068810114010633239222139231151YkrFTFullGoodBoLShortMiddle (7-15)281b / 8.5 econ / 12W
WOOffMidLegWL311314473234064167315105418198552275YkrFTFullGoodBoLShortDeath (16-20)348b / 9.64 econ / 26W

Path to the XII

Avesh enters on rotation or if his recent form improves in warm-ups and early matches. He offers experience and the ability to bowl in any phase, which makes him a useful tactical substitute.

What This Means for IPL 2026

Avesh's xImpact of 33 projects him as a below-average contributor. He is a squad depth option whose main asset is reliability and experience. LSG may use him in specific matchups or on surfaces that suit his skill set, but he is not in the first-choice plans.

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