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M Siddharth (LSG): 5.9 PP Economy From a Spinner Defies Convention

LSG
2026-03-202 min read
0.21WAR/M (regressed)
M SiddharthLSG
BowlerROLE
RHBBAT
0.43WAR/M
48.2xIMPACT
50.0SR

M Siddharth is a left-arm spinner whose powerplay economy of 5.9 is remarkable. Spinners bowling in the PP typically get hit harder than pacers as batters look to exploit the field restrictions. Siddharth bucks that trend: his 3.2 runs per over below the 9.1 PP economy average, backed by 7 wickets, make him a genuine PP weapon.

The model slots him into LSG's optimal XII with 3 overs: 1 in the PP and 2 in the middle. His regressed WAR/M of 0.21 is built on a raw bowling WAR/M of 0.43, regressed down due to a small sample of 180 bowling balls.

Role in Optimal XII

Siddharth's bowling role justification reveals a mixed picture. His middle-overs dot rate of 22% is well below the 33% average. His middle-overs economy of 10.0 also sits above the 8.5 average. His middle-overs role fit score of 0.54 is below average.

The model selects him despite weak middle-overs numbers because his PP bowling is so valuable. A spinner who can bowl effectively in the powerplay gives the captain a tactical edge that few teams possess.

Bowling Phase Breakdown

Powerplay (1-6) (44% of balls): 5.9 economy with 7 wickets. This is elite production from a spinner in the PP.

Middle (7-15) (53%): 6.8 economy with 10 wickets. His career middle-overs economy is strong even if his recent form suggests regression.

Death (16-20) (3%): Minimal sample. Not deployed here.

Sample Size Caution

With 9 matches and 180 balls, Siddharth's sample is small. His IPL confidence of 32% is one of the lowest in the XII. The regression from 0.43 to 0.21 is aggressive but appropriate. His projected WAR/M of 0.34 actually trends upward, reflecting the model's belief in his skill set.

What This Means for IPL 2026

Siddharth's xImpact of 48 projects him as a role player with PP-specialist upside. If his PP economy holds, he gives LSG a unique tactical option that most teams lack. The middle-overs dot rate is the concern: if batters milk him for singles through overs 7-15, his value drops. LSG should prioritize using him in the PP and limit his middle-overs exposure to situations where containment is the goal.

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