Mohsin Khan's overall dot ball rate of 45% across his career is elite, sitting 7 percentage points above the 37% league average. The model deploys him in LSG's optimal XII as a death specialist, bowling 3 overs with 2 at the death and 1 in the powerplay.

His regressed WAR/M of 0.20 is built on a bowling WAR/M of 0.23. The projected WAR/M of 0.24 trends upward, suggesting the model sees room for improvement.

Role in Optimal XII

Khan's bowling role justification highlights his elite overall dot rate (45%) and strong death dot rate (34% vs 32%). There is one red flag: a death six percentage of 12% versus the 9% average. He gets hit for sixes at the death more than the typical bowler, even while maintaining good dot-ball pressure. That is a high-risk bowling profile: lots of dots punctuated by maximums.

His bowling role fit of 1.06 for the death is above average. His new-ball score (1.64) is actually his highest, suggesting he could also excel with the new ball. The model places him at the death because the squad needs death bowlers more than additional new-ball options.

Bowling Phase Breakdown

Powerplay (1-6) (45% of career balls): 7.3 economy with 23 wickets. Elite PP numbers if the model ever needs to redeploy him.

Middle (7-15) (28%): 6.7 economy with 22 wickets. Excellent control through the middle phase.

Death (16-20) (27%): 9.0 economy with 23 wickets. Above average, though the six rate is a concern.

His career numbers are strong across all phases. The model's death deployment is a squad-need decision rather than a skill-based limitation.

Experience and Fitness

Khan has 47 T20 matches and 1002 bowling balls. His IPL confidence of 63% reflects a moderate track record. The Ecae of -0.63 suggests his recent economy has slightly exceeded expectations, but his dot-ball generation and wicket-taking remain strong.

What This Means for IPL 2026

Khan's xImpact of 46 projects him as a steady contributor. His dot-ball pressure at the death complements Mayank Yadav's express pace, giving LSG two viable death options. The six-rate vulnerability means he needs support: if both death overs go to Khan in a high-pressure chase, the maximums could prove costly. Used in tandem with Yadav, he provides a reliable second option.