MP Yadav is a bowler already on Lucknow Super Giants' books, with 6 IPL innings across 3 T20 seasons. His format breakdown skews toward the IPL (66%) and T20I (30%), with just 4% from SMAT. That IPL-heavy data split means the model leans more on franchise-level performance than domestic numbers.

The SMAT bowling sample is thin: 9 overs, 3 wickets, 7 economy. That is too small to draw independent conclusions from. His broader T20 career across formats is where the signal lives, and the model uses all available data to generate his projection.

Across his combined career, Yadav has bowled 54 balls, which amounts to 9 overs. That is still a small body of work. The 3 wickets suggest he has not yet been trusted with extended spells, which may indicate a squad-depth role rather than a first-choice option.

The projection sits at 0.19 WAR/M for 2026 with low confidence. His trajectory is flagged as declining, which for a bowler with only 3 seasons of data is a concerning early signal. The low confidence marker means substantial uncertainty in either direction. He could develop into a useful squad option or wash out entirely.

Yadav's advantage is proximity. He already has an IPL contract with LSG. That lowers the barrier significantly compared to uncapped domestic players who need to survive an auction. Being in the squad means he has access to coaching infrastructure, nets against IPL-quality batters, and potential match opportunities when first-choice bowlers are rested or injured.

If he can tighten his economy at the death, where the IPL average sits at 10, he profiles as a squad-depth bowler who could earn situational outings. The question is whether his declining trajectory reflects a real ceiling or just small-sample noise from a career still in its early stages.

All numbers from SMAT and domestic T20 career data.