SMAT Watch: Raghav Dhawan — 41 Average in Just 3 Innings, Big Uncertainty
Raghav Dhawan is a batter with 3 T20 seasons on record, almost entirely from T20I data (99%) with a sliver of SMAT (1%). He has never played in the IPL. The extreme T20I weighting means this profile is being evaluated largely on international data, with SMAT adding minimal incremental signal.
The SMAT numbers are paper-thin: 123 runs off 104 balls across 3 innings. The strike rate of 118 does not jump off the page, but the average of 41 is notable. Averaging 41 across any sample suggests someone who does not give his wicket away cheaply.
The sample is too small to draw firm conclusions. Three innings could include one big knock that inflates the average, and 104 balls is roughly equivalent to 17 overs of batting. That is less than a full match worth of batting data. One bad innings from here could drop the average to 25, and one good one could push it above 50.
The model leans on his T20I data to generate a projection of 0.21 WAR/M for 2026 with medium confidence and a rising trajectory. The T20I-heavy format breakdown means that projection is primarily an international-data product. How well T20I numbers predict domestic and IPL performance is itself an open question, though international experience generally indicates a baseline competence.
He has bowled 12 balls with 0 wickets at 8 economy. Not meaningful enough to factor in.
Dhawan profiles as an anchor batter. The combination of a high average and modest strike rate points to a player who builds innings and lets others accelerate around him. For IPL purposes, that role has value, but only if paired with the ability to rotate strike efficiently and find boundaries when set. A 118 SR needs to climb toward 135+ to make that profile viable at franchise level. More SMAT innings are the obvious next step. The signal is faint but not discouraging.
All numbers from SMAT and domestic T20 career data.