Shivam Mavi (SRH): 39% Dot Rate Anchors the New-Ball Partnership
Shivam Mavi's overall dot rate of 39% across his career sits above the 37% league average. That pressure-building ability pairs with a powerplay economy of 7.9 and a middle-overs economy of 6.9 to produce a projected WAR/M of 0.20. The model assigns him the new-ball role alongside Jaydev Unadkat, bowling 3 powerplay overs and 1 middle over.
His bowling WAR/M of 0.17 drives the majority of his value. The batting contribution is negative: a batting WAR/M of -0.02 across just 34 career batting balls. He is a pure bowling selection.
Powerplay: The Cost of Boundaries
Mavi's powerplay numbers contain a contradiction. His economy of 7.9 is excellent, but his powerplay boundary rate of 26% is above the league average of 22%. He concedes boundaries more often than the average new-ball bowler but compensates with dot balls and low-scoring deliveries in between.
He took 13 powerplay wickets across his career with a bowling strike rate that reflects genuine wicket-taking ability. His bowling role fit of 0.78 for the new-ball role is decent if unspectacular.
Middle and Death Overs
In the middle overs, Mavi bowled at 6.9 economy with 13 wickets. That 1.8 run advantage over the league average is his best phase. At the death, he bowled at 10.3 economy with 23 wickets, right at the league average.
His deathShare on the bowling side shows versatility. He can bowl at the death if needed, though the model prefers to use Harshal Patel and Eshan Malinga in that phase.
Sample Size Note
Mavi has just 91 T20 balls in the IPL specifically, giving him an IPL confidence of only 0.31. His broader T20 sample of 876 career bowling balls provides more confidence, but the IPL-specific data is thin. The regressed WAR/M of 0.16 appropriately discounts the limited IPL exposure.
What This Means for IPL 2026
Mavi completes SRH's new-ball pairing with Unadkat. His dot-rate-first approach complements Unadkat's boundary suppression, giving SRH two different profiles in the powerplay. His xImpact of 42 suggests a reliable bowling option who can contribute across phases if required.
The key question is whether his powerplay boundary rate stabilizes or continues to run above average. If batters start targeting him for sixes in the powerplay, the economy advantage could evaporate. If the dot rate holds, he earns his spot every match.